The phrase, 'ETF slop,' was the focal point of an episode of the Rational Reminder podcast. It's a long one, but the key point was to question whether newer ETFs actually benefit customers or not. Today, I'd like to add to the discussion.
Bill Gates and Warren Buffett share a risk-taking approach based on deep analysis, long-term goals, and comfort with uncertainty according to a 2019 blog post by Gates. Other leaders also stress the importance of risk-taking and failure in achieving success.
As risk appetite cooled, some AI stocks experienced steep pullbacks in 2025. Yet, with investor interest in more niche AI infrastructure once again reemerging, these previously beaten down names are showing early signs of renewed momentum.
Tech investor Jason Calacanis said Tesla's Optimus robot could surpass the company's car business, calling it "the most transformative technology product ever made."
On January 7, 2026, the global media landscape underwent a seismic shift that few traditional pundits saw coming. News Corp (Nasdaq: NWSA), the parent company of Dow Jones, announced an exclusive multi-year partnership with Polymarket, the world’s leading decentralized prediction platform. This alliance does more than just share data; it signals the definitive arrival of [...]
As the battle for the future of information markets moves from the betting floor to the federal courtroom, a new consensus is emerging among the world’s most active forecasters. On the social prediction platform Manifold Markets, a high-stakes contract titled "Will Federal Preemption Protect DCMs from State Bans by End of 2026?" has seen a [...]
The era of prediction markets has officially shifted from a niche experimental phase into a primary pillar of global finance. As of January 17, 2026, the industry is no longer just a "truth machine" for political cycles; it has become a high-velocity financial engine. Recent data shows the total prediction market industry hit an all-time [...]
As of January 17, 2026, the global financial landscape has fundamentally shifted. What were once dismissed as "gambling dens" for political junkies have evolved into the world’s most accurate "truth engines." The catalyst for this transformation can be traced back to a single, high-conviction figure from the 2024 U.S. election: the pseudonymous French trader known [...]
Starting January 21, 2026, the landscape of digital information and financial speculation will undergo a seismic transformation. Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) has officially announced a major policy shift, reclassifying regulated prediction markets from "gambling" to "financial products." This change allows federally supervised platforms to advertise their services nationwide across Google’s massive search and display network, [...]
As the 2026 legislative session kicks off in Albany, New York has become the epicenter of a national struggle over the legality of "information finance." At the heart of the storm are two competing visions for the state’s regulatory future: a "scorched-earth" prohibition known as the ORACLE Act (Assembly Bill A9251) and a rival regulatory [...]
January 12, 2026, will be remembered as the day the "invisible hand" of the market finally grew a voice. In a historic 24-hour window, global prediction markets processed a staggering $701.7 million in daily trading volume, a milestone that effectively signals the end of the industry's experimental phase. This surge wasn't just a win for [...]
The landscape of American finance and media underwent a seismic shift this week as Kalshi, the first regulated event contract exchange in the U.S., officially reached "Decacorn" status with a staggering $11 billion valuation. The milestone follows a massive $1.1 billion Series E funding round, signaling that what was once a niche corner of the [...]
Navitas is making a bold bet on AI power and EV infrastructure, and the next few years could define whether this stock becomes a breakout winner or a cautionary tale.
The prediction market world is reeling following a series of highly suspicious trades that occurred just hours before the dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. While the world woke up on January 3, 2026, to the news of a high-stakes U.S. military operation in Caracas, one anonymous trader was already counting their winnings. The [...]
At the end of a historic super cycle, it’s either Bubble bursts or Bubble excess that goes to even crazier extremes. Crazier extremes owned 2025 – at home and abroad.
A landmark study from Vanderbilt University has sent shockwaves through the burgeoning prediction market industry, delivering a rigorous autopsy of the 2024 election cycle that fundamentally challenges the "liquidity equals truth" dogma of modern finance. As of January 17, 2026, the findings are reshaping how institutional investors, political strategists, and retail traders view the reliability [...]
Bill Gates, the world's richest person in 2016, has fallen out of the top 10 billionaires by 2026 as tech-driven fortunes like Elon Musk's and other tech leaders' skyrocketed, while Gates focused on philanthropy, committing nearly all of his remaining wealth to the Gates Foundation.
Conventional wisdom says to either buy gold or buy shares in a company mining it. Yet a streaming company like Wheaton Precious Metals offers similar returns with less risk.
